Iraqi Government Refusing "Sons Of Iraq"

by: Chris LeJeune

Mon Aug 25, 2008 at 12:23:41 PM EDT


The topic of the Sahwa Councils, or Sunni Awakening movements has been a controversial one from the beginning.  While many members of the military have credited the strategy as being the main cause of the drop in violence, there are still many issues that are left unresolved.  Our own Alex Horton wrote a blog piece on the trials of working with the enemy that we had been fighting against.  Initially the concept was a two-fold process.  We would pay insurgents either to work alongside our troops, provide intel to our troops, or to just keep quiet.  On the outset this was very successful.  These former insurgents have shown great promise, especially in Anbar province, of policing their own neighborhoods and providing good intel on insurgent groups.  Of course, the biggest advantage was that they were no longer attacking our troops now that they were on the US payroll.  However, they then began to negotiate for more money.  Essentially their position became "pay us more or we'll go back to Al-Qaeda."  An article in the Seattle Times explains the basic strategy.

BAGHDAD - A key pillar of the U.S. strategy to pacify Iraq is in danger of collapsing because the Iraqi government is failing to absorb tens of thousands of former Sunni Muslim insurgents who'd joined U.S.-allied militia groups into the country's security forces.

American officials have credited the militias, known as the Sons of Iraq or Awakening Councils, with undercutting support for the group al-Qaida in Iraq and bringing peace to large swaths of the country, including Anbar province and parts of Baghdad. Under the program, the United States pays each militia member a stipend of about $300 a month and promised that they'd get jobs with the Iraqi government.

However, the US government had never planned on keeping these guys on the payroll forever.   The second part of the plan was for the Iraqi government to then hire them into government positions and integrate them into the police and military forces.  Unfortunately, considering the Sunni background of these ex-insurgents, the Iraqi government is now refusing to hold up their end of the bargain.

American military officials here have always said that the creation of the Sunni militias was at least as important to the precipitous drop in violence as the presence of 30,000 more U.S. troops, and that incorporating them into the security forces would go a long way toward bringing about the sort of reconciliation needed for long-term stability.

After initially embracing the idea of bringing the militia members into the security forces, however, Prime Minister Nouri al Maliki hasn't followed through. A committee that Maliki formed to organize the militias' transition to full-fledged government security troops fell apart and was reconstituted only recently. U.S. officials acknowledge that the hiring of the Sunnis has slowed to a crawl.
U.S. and Iraqi officials agree that the Maliki government never agreed to hire more than 20 percent of the militia members. A Maliki ally said it was unreasonable to expect otherwise.
"All the Americans are doing is paying them just to be quiet," said Haider al Abadi, a leading member of Maliki's Dawa political party and the head of the economic and investment committee in the parliament. The Iraqi government, he said, can't "justify paying monthly salaries to people on the grounds that they are ex-insurgents."

But the resistance of these groups by the Iraqi government is just the beginning.  Not only are they refusing to hire them, they are actively working against them.

The Los Angeles Times reports today on the Iraqi government's desire to disband the U.S.-funded Sunni paramilitaries, made up of former insurgents, who helped halt the country's open sectarian war. The U.S. military has watched as the government has dissolved the Sons of Iraq movement in the Baghdad suburb of Abu Ghraib and severely restricted it in the city of Baquba.

The Iraqi army has arrested fighters, credited with bringing calm to the country, while others are on the run or now living in exile,   like Abu Abed, who was the first man in Baghdad to wage a successful revolt against Al Qaeda in Iraq.

The Iraqi government is lobbying to end the Sons of Iraq as soon as possible.

An Iraqi commander explains further:

"We cannot stand them, and we detained many of them recently," said one senior Iraqi commander in Baghdad, who spoke only on the condition of anonymity because he wasn't authorized to discuss the issue. "Many of them were part of al Qaida despite the fact that many of them are helping us to fight al Qaida."

He said the army was considering setting a Nov. 1 deadline for those militia members who hadn't been absorbed into the security forces or given civilian jobs to give up their weapons. After that, they'd be arrested, he said.

Some militia members say that such a move would force them into open warfare with the government again.

"If they disband us now, I will tell you that history will show we will go back to zero," said Mullah Shahab al Aafi, a former emir, or leader, of insurgents in Diyala province who's the acting commander of 24,000 Sons of Iraq there, 11,000 of whom are on the U.S. payroll. "I will not give up my weapons. I will never give them up, and I will carry my weapon again. If it is useless to talk to the government, I will be forced to carry my weapons and my pistol."


I have to wonder how well this strategy would have worked during World War II, if we had just paid off the Nazis.  Abu Muqawama sums it up perfectly:
Some argue that most SoIs would not revert to violence. Maybe. Perhaps most are tired of fighting. Perhaps most are deterred by the fact that the U.S. military (and perhaps the Iraqi government) have their biometric information. Perhaps most will be satisfied being plumbers. But here's a news flash: since there are 100,000 of these guys with guns, it wouldn't take most to revert to violence to cause a big problem. A mere 5-20 percent could cause a heck of a fireworks show. Remember, for years the U.S. military estimated the entire Sunni insurgency to be 8,000-20,000 guys.

 

Chris LeJeune :: Iraqi Government Refusing "Sons Of Iraq"
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Given the decades or even centuries old sectarian conflict in that region (0.00 / 0)
it doesn't surprise me in the least that this is happening.  In fact, it makes perfect sense.  Right now, the U.S. is the only power forcing those Iraqi factions together and each faction is trying to pull as much power, money, etc. from the U.S. as it can.  Neither faction, Sunni, Kurd, or Shia trust each other fully and they probably never will given the amount of bloodshed over the years.  This is what Saddam Hussein had to deal with and he used an iron fist to hold Iraq together.  Now we see why he did that.

I  recall reading Joe Biden's 2006 proposal to partition Iraq.  I also recall that he caught a lot of Hell for it back then to.  I don't think Biden wanted a partitioned Iraq.  I think he proposed it because he knew, given Iraq's background, that it was likely to happen either way no matter what the U.S. did and now we see the various factions apparently moving in that direction.  Biden's proposal may unfortunately be the only viable option left if the Iraqi factions have their way.

Besides, the U.S. also has to calculate what is happening not only in Iraq but in Afghanistan, Pakistan and other areas of the globe as well.  Given that the U.S. military is largely overstretched, a priority will have to be decided upon and soon especially if Dr. Cordesman is correct.  The clock is ticking.  I posted this earlier on an open thread but I'll repost it here because I think its important as it adds to the U.S. predicament.  Link to the whole article is below:

''The U.S. is now losing the war against the Taliban,'' Anthony Cordesman, of the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, wrote in a report Thursday. A resurgent al-Qaida, which was harbored by the Taliban in the years before the Sept. 11 attacks, could soon follow, Cordesman warned.

Cordesman called for the U.S. to treat Pakistani territory as a combat zone if Pakistan does not act. ''Pakistan may officially be an ally, but much of its conduct has effectively made it a major threat to U.S. strategic interests.''

http://www.nytimes.com/aponlin...

"Armed forces abroad are of little value unless there is prudent counsel at home."

Marcus Tullius Cicero 106 BC-43 BC


I have been (4.00 / 1)
Away for awhile. I have not had the time to write a diary because I have been busy here in Southern Baghdad. This situation is more than small. I Know the SOI here in Baghdad and I work with them every day. I talk with them, I eat with them, patrol with them and play with their children. If the predominately Shia government does not put down their bias on this issue and allow the SOI members to be forgoten these men will turn their rifles on coalition forces. They have given everything to defend their neighborhoods and have recieved nothing from the country they fight for. These men (most of them) were not fighting a Jihad against foreign invaders they were doing what it took to collect a paycheck. Its the same reason they switched to our side in the first place. WE PAY BETTER and more often. If these men are not allowed to be forgiven for past misdeads and allowed to fold into the Iraqi security forces they will look for that next paycheck anywhere they can get it. And they will be vengefull with a government that forgets them. They are are allies today but the fire remains beneath the ash.

Stay safe... (0.00 / 0)
Stay sane...

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